2024
COLT
COLT 2024
An information-theoretic lower bound in time-uniform estimation
Abstract
We present an information-theoretic lower bound for the problem of parameter estimation with time-uniform coverage guarantees. We use a reduction to sequential testing to obtain stronger lower bounds that capture the hardness of the time-uniform setting. In the case of location model estimation and logistic regression, our lower bound is $\Omega(\sqrt{n^{-1}\log \log n})$, which is tight up to constant factors in typical settings.
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Interdisciplinary Bridge
- Artificial Intelligence and Mathematics & Optimization