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2026 UAI UAI 2026

Joint MDPs and Reinforcement Learning in Coupled-Dynamics Environments

Many distributional quantities in reinforcement learning are intrinsically joint across actions, including distributions of gaps and probabilities of superiority. However, the classical {Markov} decision process ({MDP}) formalism specifies only marginal laws and leaves the joint law of counterfactual one-step outcomes across multiple possible actions at a state unspecified. We study coupled-dynamics environments with a multi-action generative interface which can sample counterfactual one-step outcomes for multiple actions under shared exogenous randomness. We propose joint {MDPs} (JMDPs) as a formalism for such environments by augmenting an {MDP} with a multi-action sample transition model which specifies a coupling of one-step counterfactual outcomes, while preserving standard {MDP} interaction as marginal observations. We adopt and formalize a one-step coupling regime where dependence across actions is confined to immediate counterfactual outcomes at the queried state. In this regime, we derive {Bellman} operators for $n$th-order return moments, providing dynamic programming and incremental algorithms with convergence guarantees.

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