Probabilistic Modeling

The Energy of Falsehood: Detecting Hallucinations via Diffusion Model Likelihoods EACL 2026 The Fixed-Point of Distrust: A Formal Theory of Perceived Systemic Incompetence AAAI 2026 The Universal Normal Embedding CVPR 2026 Think How Your Teammates Think: Active Inference Can Benefit Decentralized Execution AAAI 2026 Time Series Forecasting via Direct Per-Step Probability Distribution Modeling AAAI 2026 Towards A Scanpath-Conditioned Surprisal Theory: Modeling Reader Information States ACL 2026 Training-free Detection of Generated Videos via Spatial-Temporal Likelihoods CVPR 2026 TrustEnergy: A Unified Framework for Accurate and Reliable User-level Energy Usage Prediction AAAI 2026 Uncertainty-Aware Routing for Principled Alignment with MoE Dynamics ACL 2026 Uncertainty-Based Methods for Automated Process Reward Data Construction and Output Aggregation in Mathematical Reasoning AAAI 2026 UniPixie: Unified and Probabilistic 3D Physics Learning via Flow Matching CVPR 2026 Universal Learning of Stochastic Dynamics for Exact Belief Propagation Using Bernstein Normalizing Flows AAAI 2026 Upper entropy for 2-monotone lower probabilities UAI 2026 Variance Computation for Weighted Model Counting with Knowledge Compilation Approach AAAI 2026 Verbalizing LLM’s Higher-order Uncertainty via Imprecise Probabilities UAI 2026 When Natural Strategies Meet Fuzziness and Resource-Bounded Actions AAAI 2026 A Bayesian account of pronoun and neopronoun acquisition NAACL 2025 Accelerated Diffusion Models via Speculative Sampling ICML 2025 A Computationally Grounded Framework for Cognitive Attitudes AAAI 2025 A Conditional Probability Framework for Compositional Zero-shot Learning ICCV 2025 A Copula-Based Generative Score-Level Fusion Model for Speaker Verification Interspeech 2025 Adaptive Elicitation of Latent Information Using Natural Language ICML 2025 Adaptive Shrinkage Estimation for Personalized Deep Kernel Regression in Modeling Brain Trajectories ICLR 2025 A Deep Probabilistic Framework for Continuous Time Dynamic Graph Generation AAAI 2025 A Family of Distributions of Random Subsets for Controlling Positive and Negative Dependence AISTATS 2025