Uncertainty Quantification

BD-Merging: Bias-Aware Dynamic Model Merging with Evidence-Guided Contrastive Learning CVPR 2026 Cheap Bootstrap for Fast Uncertainty Quantification of Stochastic Gradient Descent JMLR 2026 Conformal Online Model Aggregation UAI 2026 Conformal Prediction Sets for Instance Segmentation UAI 2026 Conformal Risk Minimization with Variance Reduction UAI 2026 Diagnosing Conformal Prediction Failures Under Distribution Shift: A COVID-19 Case Study UAI 2026 Exploring Novel Uncertainty Quantification through Forward Intensity Function Modeling JMLR 2026 Information-Theoretic Lower Bounds for Causal Inference under Credal Uncertainty UAI 2026 MADE: A Living Benchmark for Multi-Label Text Classification with Uncertainty Quantification of Medical Device Adverse Events ACL 2026 MMCM: Multimodality-aware Metric using Clustering-based Modes for Probabilistic Human Motion Prediction WACV 2026 MUSE: Model-based Uncertainty-aware Similarity Estimation for zero-shot 2D Object Detection and Segmentation WACV 2026 Open Problem: Is Interaction Necessary for Order-Optimal 1-bit Mean Estimation? COLT 2026 Partial Causal Structure Learning for Valid Selective Conformal Inference under Interventions UAI 2026 Predictive inference for time series: why is split conformal effective despite temporal dependence? ALT 2026 PRISM: Probabilistic Reward Model with Inherent Structural Modeling ACL 2026 Probabilistic Precipitation Nowcasting with Rectified Flow Transformers CVPR 2026 Quantifying and Understanding Uncertainty in Large Reasoning Models ACL 2026 Reliable Conformal Prediction for Ordinal Classification Using the Ranked Probability Score UAI 2026 Retrospective Counterfactual Prediction by Conditioning on the Factual Outcome: A Cross-World Approach CLeaR 2026 Safe Planning in Interactive Environments via Iterative Policy Updates and Adversarially Robust Conformal Prediction L4DC 2026 Safety Beyond the Training Data: Robust Out-of-Distribution MPC via Conformalized System Level Synthesis L4DC 2026 Scalable Data-Driven Reachability Analysis and Control via Koopman Operators with Conformal Coverage Guarantees L4DC 2026 Time-aware Motion Planning in Dynamic Environments with Conformal Prediction L4DC 2026 Transfer Conformal Predictive Inference for Regression JMLR 2026 Uncertainty-Aware Subset Selection for Robust Visual Explainability under Distribution Shifts WACV 2026