prediction market

LLM as a Risk Manager: LLM Semantic Filtering for Lead–Lag Trading in Prediction Markets ACL 2026 Hedging and Approximate Truthfulness in Traditional Forecasting Competitions AAAI 2025 Inverse Optimization with Prediction Market: A Characterization of Scoring Rules for Elciting System States AISTATS 2025 A Synthetic Prediction Market for Estimating Confidence in Published Work AAAI 2022 Memoryless Sequences for General Losses JMLR 2020 Bounded-Loss Private Prediction Markets NeurIPS 2018 A Decomposition of Forecast Error in Prediction Markets NeurIPS 2017 Memoryless Sequences for Differentiable Losses COLT 2017 A Market Framework for Eliciting Private Data NeurIPS 2015 Convergence Analysis of Prediction Markets via Randomized Subspace Descent NeurIPS 2015 Market Scoring Rules Act As Opinion Pools For Risk-Averse Agents NeurIPS 2015 Multi-period Trading Prediction Markets with Connections to Machine Learning ICML 2014 Aggregating Predictions via Sequential Mini-Trading ACML 2013 A Characterization of Scoring Rules for Linear Properties COLT 2012 An Introduction to Artificial Prediction Markets for Classification JMLR 2012 Interpreting prediction markets: a stochastic approach NeurIPS 2012 A Collaborative Mechanism for Crowdsourcing Prediction Problems NeurIPS 2011 Machine Learning Markets AISTATS 2011 Repeated Games against Budgeted Adversaries NeurIPS 2010